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PSXNYSE/energy

Phillips 66

$198.29Up+9.93 (+5.27%)
Research reviewed: Jul 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Research overview3-month price contextInvestment thesisKey catalystsLatest earnings researchRecent newsData and research sources

Research overview

Phillips 66 operates in Oil and Gas Refining and Marketing within the energy sector. This profile tracks its company-specific earnings drivers, valuation conditions, and primary-source risks.

Open
192.24
High
198.58
Low
191.12
Market Cap
79.5B
P/E Ratio
19.61
52 Week High
--
Dividend
2.700%
Quarterly Dividend
--

3-month price context

The chart shows the recent 3-month trend so users can understand short-term market structure before opening the full research workspace.

Investment thesis

Base case
Fractionation, export and pipeline projects can add fee-oriented cash flow. The base case remains conditional on refining volatility staying manageable.
Bull case
Fractionation, export and pipeline projects can add fee-oriented cash flow. High utilization and clean-product yield can improve margin capture. New polymer capacity can support long-duration growth after startup.
Bear case
Crack spreads, differentials and outages can rapidly change earnings. Derivative timing and accounting can create large reported swings. Large projects face cost, schedule and startup risks.
Thesis invalidation
Reassess the thesis if crack spreads, differentials and outages can rapidly change earnings.

Key catalysts

  • Midstream expansion

    Fractionation, export and pipeline projects can add fee-oriented cash flow.

  • Refining execution

    High utilization and clean-product yield can improve margin capture.

  • Chemicals projects

    New polymer capacity can support long-duration growth after startup.

Principal risks

  • Refining volatility

    Crack spreads, differentials and outages can rapidly change earnings.

  • Hedging volatility

    Derivative timing and accounting can create large reported swings.

  • Project execution

    Large projects face cost, schedule and startup risks.

Latest earnings research

Q1 2026

Phillips 66 reported strong operations and expanded midstream capacity, while commodity hedging and market volatility affected first-quarter reported results.

Valuation interpretation

  • Execution quality: The valuation case depends on midstream expansion translating into durable cash-flow growth.
  • Risk balance: Expected returns should be weighed against refining volatility and capital requirements.

Peer research

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Recent news

Motley Fool · 3 hours ago

Phillips 66's CFO Cashed In Options but Kept an $18.3 Million Stake — Here's What Investors Should Focus On Instead

Investor's Business Daily · 4 hours ago

Oil Surges As Trump Asserts Control Over Strait Of Hormuz; What Happens Now

MT Newswires · 5 hours ago

US Equity Markets End Lower After Trump Proposes Blockade of Iranian Ships, Toll on Strait of Hormuz

Zacks · 10 hours ago

Renewed Middle East Tensions Threaten Supply: 3 Energy Stocks to Watch

Zacks · 4 days ago

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Data and research sources

Research updated: Jul 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
3 verified sources
Phillips 66 Reports First-Quarter Results: Expanded Capacity and Continued Strong OperationsPhillips 66 · earningsVerified

Fetched: 7/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM UTC

Published: 4/29/2026, 12:00:00 AM

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Phillips 66 Investor RelationsPhillips 66 · companyVerified

Fetched: 7/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM UTC

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Phillips 66 SEC filings and company factsU.S. Securities and Exchange Commission · filingVerified

Fetched: 7/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM UTC

Published: 4/29/2026, 12:00:00 AM

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