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MDLZNASDAQ/consumer staples

Mondelez International, Inc.

$59.86Up+1.03 (+1.75%)
Research reviewed: 2026年7月12日 00:00 UTC
Research overview3-month price contextInvestment thesisKey catalystsLatest earnings researchRecent newsData and research sources

Research overview

Mondelez International, Inc. operates in Packaged Foods and Meats within the consumer staples sector. This profile tracks its company-specific earnings drivers, valuation conditions, and primary-source risks.

始値
59.50
高値
60.78
安値
59.42
時価総額
768.39億
PER
29.63
52週高値
--
配当
3.400%
四半期配当額
--

3-month price context

直近3か月の推移を表示し、フル調査ワークスペースに進む前に短期構造を把握できます。

Investment thesis

Base case
Distribution expansion and category growth in emerging markets can sustain revenue across biscuits and chocolate. The base case remains conditional on cocoa and commodity inflation staying manageable.
Bull case
Distribution expansion and category growth in emerging markets can sustain revenue across biscuits and chocolate. Investment behind global and local brands can support share, innovation and consumer engagement despite pricing pressure. Early improvement in developed-market trends can broaden growth if elasticity and retailer execution normalize.
Bear case
Elevated cocoa and other input costs can pressure gross profit when pricing and productivity lag inflation. Consumer affordability pressure and retailer responses to pricing can weaken volume, mix and market share. Currency volatility, geopolitical disruption and complex global supply chains can raise costs and disrupt product availability.

Key catalysts

  • Emerging-market growth

    Distribution expansion and category growth in emerging markets can sustain revenue across biscuits and chocolate.

  • Brand and growth-platform investment

    Investment behind global and local brands can support share, innovation and consumer engagement despite pricing pressure.

  • Developed-market improvement

    Early improvement in developed-market trends can broaden growth if elasticity and retailer execution normalize.

Principal risks

  • Cocoa and commodity inflation

    Elevated cocoa and other input costs can pressure gross profit when pricing and productivity lag inflation.

  • Price elasticity and volume

    Consumer affordability pressure and retailer responses to pricing can weaken volume, mix and market share.

  • Global operating exposure

    Currency volatility, geopolitical disruption and complex global supply chains can raise costs and disrupt product availability.

Latest earnings research

Q1 2026

Mondelēz reported first-quarter 2026 net-revenue and organic growth led by emerging markets, while volume/mix remained slightly negative and adjusted earnings declined amid commodity and macroeconomic pressure.

Valuation interpretation

  • Brand durability supports a defensive interpretation only if pricing preserves profitability without causing prolonged volume erosion.
  • Emerging-market growth and developed-market stabilization should be weighed against cocoa inflation and consumer affordability pressure.

Peer research

GISCOSTKO

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Thesis invalidation
Reassess the thesis if elevated cocoa and other input costs can pressure gross profit when pricing and productivity lag inflation.

LYB Partners Mondelez & Others for Flexible Packaging Solution

Data and research sources

Research updated: 2026年7月12日 00:00 UTC
3 verified sources
Mondelēz International Reports Q1 2026 ResultsMondelēz International, Inc. · earningsVerified

Fetched: 2026/7/12 0:00:00 UTC

Published: 2026/4/28 0:00:00

Open original source
Mondelēz International, Inc. Investor RelationsMondelēz International, Inc. · companyVerified

Fetched: 2026/7/12 0:00:00 UTC

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Form 10-Q for the Quarter Ended March 31, 2026Mondelēz International, Inc. · filingVerified

Fetched: 2026/7/12 0:00:00 UTC

Published: 2026/4/28 0:00:00

Open original source
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