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MPCNYSE/energy

Marathon Petroleum Corporation

$296.88Up+13,14 (+4,63%)
Research reviewed: 12 июл. 2026 г., 00:00 UTC
Research overview3-month price contextInvestment thesisKey catalystsLatest earnings researchRecent newsData and research sources

Research overview

Marathon Petroleum Corporation operates in Oil and Gas Refining and Marketing within the energy sector. This profile tracks its company-specific earnings drivers, valuation conditions, and primary-source risks.

Eröffnung
290,82
Hoch
299,05
Tief
289,54
Marktkapitalisierung
86,67 Mrd.
KGV
19.56
52-Wochen-Hoch
--
Dividende
1.380%
Quartalsdividende
--

3-month price context

График показывает недавний 3-месячный тренд, чтобы пользователи могли понять краткосрочную структуру перед открытием полного рабочего кабинета.

Investment thesis

Base case
Garyville, El Paso and Robinson projects can increase production of higher-value fuels and improve refinery economics. The base case remains conditional on refining-margin volatility staying manageable.
Bull case
Garyville, El Paso and Robinson projects can increase production of higher-value fuels and improve refinery economics. Permian and natural-gas infrastructure growth at MPLX can increase stable distributions to MPC. Scale, logistics integration and completed turnaround work can support utilization and capture favorable margins.
Bear case
Crack spreads and crude differentials can change rapidly and materially affect refining earnings. Unplanned outages or cost overruns during major maintenance can reduce throughput and increase expenses. Fuel standards, emissions rules and legacy remediation obligations can require significant spending.
Thesis invalidation
Reassess the thesis if crack spreads and crude differentials can change rapidly and materially affect refining earnings.

Key catalysts

  • Refining upgrades

    Garyville, El Paso and Robinson projects can increase production of higher-value fuels and improve refinery economics.

  • MPLX cash-flow growth

    Permian and natural-gas infrastructure growth at MPLX can increase stable distributions to MPC.

  • Integrated-system optimization

    Scale, logistics integration and completed turnaround work can support utilization and capture favorable margins.

Principal risks

  • Refining-margin volatility

    Crack spreads and crude differentials can change rapidly and materially affect refining earnings.

  • Outages and turnarounds

    Unplanned outages or cost overruns during major maintenance can reduce throughput and increase expenses.

  • Regulatory and environmental costs

    Fuel standards, emissions rules and legacy remediation obligations can require significant spending.

Latest earnings research

Q1 2026

Marathon Petroleum reported first-quarter net income attributable to MPC of $511 million and cash from operations of $1.1 billion while completing substantial planned turnaround work and advancing refining and MPLX growth projects.

Valuation interpretation

  • Midstream support: The valuation case benefits when MPLX distributions offset volatility in refining cash flows.
  • Capital discipline: Buybacks and project spending should be assessed against through-cycle refining margins and maintenance requirements.

Peer research

PSXVLOCVX

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Data and research sources

Research updated: 12 июл. 2026 г., 00:00 UTC
3 verified sources
Marathon Petroleum Corp. Reports First-Quarter 2026 ResultsMarathon Petroleum Corporation · earningsVerified

Fetched: 12.07.2026, 0:00:00 UTC

Published: 05.05.2026, 00:00:00

Open original source
Marathon Petroleum Corporation Investor RelationsMarathon Petroleum Corporation · companyVerified

Fetched: 12.07.2026, 0:00:00 UTC

Open original source
Form 10-Q for the Quarter Ended March 31, 2026Marathon Petroleum Corporation · filingVerified

Fetched: 12.07.2026, 0:00:00 UTC

Published: 05.05.2026, 00:00:00

Open original source

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